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Speakers: Tom Arnold
Charles F. MacCormack
Presider: David J. Rothkopf

May 29, 2008
Council on Foreign Relations
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MR. ARNOLD: But if I can just make one more point on the food aid question. I think we also need to make a distinction between emergency, sort of famine-oriented food aid and long-term food aid. And certainly, on the latter, the increased costs of production and transportation make it even less viable. But we're going to see more famine, for the reasons that we have discussed. And again, as we're speaking, North Korea is on the cusp of a major food crisis. The Ogaden in Ethiopia is into a major food crisis. There is not locally available food or even regionally available food, and these people will die unless food aid is made available. So that's a very different reality in the food-aid equation than the piece that we were just talking about.

And the problem is going to be that all the funds that are currently available for food aid are going to be needed and then some just to deal with these famine situations. So I do think this earlier argument about cash versus food unfortunately is actually not going to be relevant in the next five years.

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